- New Hampshire (4) is an early indicator state, especially if it goes to Trump, as Clinton is favored slightly.
- Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16) and Virginia (13) all lean to Clinton; if Trump wins any of these states, it will be very meaningful. Similarly, Georgia (16) and Arizona (11) both lean to Trump; if Clinton wins either of these states, it will be very meaningful.
- Finally, Florida (29), Ohio (18) and North Carolina (15) are the most important toss-up states. Trump needs them more than Clinton. Indeed, if Clinton wins Florida, it may be all over.
- Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight predicts 299-238 for Clinton; RealClearPolitics predicts 272-266 for Clinton. I have no pony in this sorry race, but if I had to bet I'd wager a small amount on Clinton.
Monday, November 7, 2016
Election Night 2016
Here is THE way to watch the Presidential returns Tuesday night.